Zimbabwe After Mugabe, A look At The Economy
In November 2017,
Emmerson Mnangagwa became the President of Zimbabwe. Many Zimbabweans had
high hopes. Particularly, for better economic prospects but the reality has
been sober, bordering on depression.
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About 9
billion U.S. dollars in debt to creditors, workers strike, power outages, mixed
currency policy and further mounting inflation has done little to impress the
masses. Mnangagwa started tackling the issues by re-engaging
with the international community after years of diplomatic isolation. He brought
new policies such as inviting investors to the country for business under theme
"open for business."
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To
prove this, the indigenization policy has been suspended. This was supposed
to mandate foreign investors with businesses with a net asset value of 1 U.S.
dollar to cede 51 percent equity stakes to indigenous. It didn’t work.
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Mnangagwa
even agreed compensation to white Zimbabweans whose land were seized under
the late Mugade. All in the bid to ease off international sanctions. And he
did pay them. 64 million U.S. dollars had been paid to those affected or
their beneficiaries by the current Zimbabwean government.
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Black outs had
become the norm in Zimbabwe. This is linked to the huge debt the nation owes Eskom
and other regional electric power utility firms. With initial four hours of electricity
per day, little or no production occurred in the Southern African nation. The
manufacturing and retail sectors have resolved to self-generate electricity with
diesel generators.
This is easing
up somewhat with Chinese and Indian loans. China gave almost 66 million U.S. dollars and India releasing
two loans of 23 million U.S. dollar and 19.5 million U.S. dollar to boost
local distribution and Zimbabwe paying off some its debt and agree to pay the
rest soon.
Unemployment,
strike seems to be unending and Inflation has literally shattered the roof. Lack
of jobs, is leading to more industrial actions. While those employed want
more earnings. Although, the government is offering some increase, but it is
against the advice of lenders like the International Monetary Fund-IMF.
Hyperinflation
is the norm and the use of multiple currencies in the country had not help
the situation. To address this, the country introduced two legal tenders.
Bond notes and the Real-Time Gross Settlement or RTGS. This stop gap measure
has been replaced with the reintroduction of the Zimbabwean dollar.
The saving
grace could still be agriculture. Despite the drought cause by the El Nino
weather phenomenon that drastically affected farmers. The Food and Agriculture Organisation
states that almost half of Zimbabwe’s export is from agriculture and about 300,000
farmers are back to the farms. A good sign of positive things to come.
Coffee seems
to the leading the path of possible economic recovery. The output in Zimbabwe
for 2018 was 43o tonnes. This was an increase of 10 percent from the previous
year. Out for 2019 has been set at 500 tonnes. Nespresso, a subsidiary of Nestle has already shown
interest Zimbabwe’s coffee since 2018. And made purchases about international
rates.
Some improvement
is on the horizon but the weather will determine how soon the sun shines on Zimbabwe’s
economy and her citizens.
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